Last year there were 41 condos and townhomes sold in Pinetop-Lakeside, for a total of $5.29M. This compares to 45 sold in 2010 for a total of $7.35M. Sales prices were down 28% in 2011 compared to 2010.
Property values also declined sharply in 2011. The median price of the condos and townhomes sold in 2011 was down 22.58% from the previous year.
Following is a breakdown, by neighborhood, of how the median price of homes sold in 2011 compared to 2010:
Country Pines -16%
Mountain Pine Est -18%
Pinetop CC Village +2%
Pinetop Crossing -15%
Sports Village 1&2 -28%
Sports Village 3 -33%
Sports Village 4 -21%
Starlight Ridge 1 -30%
The Village -11%
This only includes neighborhoods that had sales in both 2010 and 2011. Keep in mind that prices were already down significantly in 2010 from previous years.
This does not mean that your home’s value necessarily decreased by the amount indicated, because these numbers don’t take into account things like location, upgrades, square footage, etc. This is especially true for neighborhoods that have various models of homes.
There are indications that the number of foreclosed homes on the market is starting to decline and this should help to stabilize prices. As prices continue to decline more and more homeowners are underwater and many will let their homes go back to the bank. This will drive home values down further.
The following article was published in RealtyTrac's July 2011 Foreclosure Market Trends Report
1.17 Million Homes Receive Foreclosure Notice During First Six Months of the Year
Second Quarter Numbers Lowest Since Fourth Quarter of 2007
IRVINE, Calif. – July 14, 2011 – RealtyTrac®, the leading online marketplace for foreclosure properties, today released its Midyear 2011 Foreclosure Market Report, which shows a total of 1,170,402 U.S. properties received foreclosure filings — default notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions — in the first six months of 2011, a 25 percent decrease from the previous six months and a 29 percent decrease from the first half of 2010. The report also shows that 0.90 percent of all U.S. housing units (one in 111) had at least one foreclosure filing in the first half of the year.
Foreclosure filings were reported on 222,740 U.S. properties in June, an increase of nearly 4 percent from the previous month, but a decrease of 29 percent from June 2010. June was the ninth straight month where foreclosure activity decreased on a year-over-year basis. Default notices, scheduled auctions and REOs were all up on a month-over-month basis but down on a year-over-year basis in June.
Foreclosure filings were reported on 608,235 U.S. properties during the second quarter, a decrease of nearly 11 percent from the first quarter and a decrease of 32 percent from the second quarter of 2010. The second quarter total was the lowest quarterly total since the fourth quarter of 2007. All categories of foreclosure were down both on quarterly basis and annual basis in the second quarter.
“It would be nice to report that foreclosure activity is dropping as a result of improvements in the economy or the housing market,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “Unfortunately, with unemployment rates inching back up, consumer confidence weak and home sales and prices continuing to languish, this doesn’t appear to be the case.
“Processing and procedural delays are pushing foreclosures further and further out – we estimate that as many as 1 million foreclosure actions that should have taken place in 2011 will now happen in 2012, or perhaps even later. This casts an ominous shadow over the housing market, where recovery is unlikely to happen until the current and forthcoming inventory of distressed properties can be whittled down to a manageable number.”
Although our market isn’t as bad as the Phoenix area, of all the homes sold in Navajo and Apache Counties in 2010, 47% were foreclosed properties or short sales. These “distressed” sales have had a major impact on property values.
Year-to-date there have been 9 condos and townhomes sold and 8 of those have been bank owned homes, either from foreclosures or bankruptcies. This compares to 3 bank owned sales out of the 5 homes sold in the same period last year.
In 2010 there were 45 condos and townhomes sold and 12 of these were bank owned. This compares to 6 bank owned condo and townhomes sold out of 32 sales in 2009.
The decrease in the average price of homes sold indicates how the increase in foreclosures has impacted property values. The average price of the condos and townhomes sold in 2010 was almost 18% lower than in 2009. Year-to-date in 2011 the average price of the condos and townhomes sold is down almost 26% from the same period last year.
This has had a larger impact on condos and townhomes than on the overall market. The average price of all of the homes sold in Navajo and Apache Counties was down almost 12% from 2009 to 2010, compared to 18% for condos and townhomes.
The April 2011 issue of RealtyTrac’s Foreclosure Market Trends Report stated that nationwide foreclosure filings were down 15% for the 1st quarter of 2011 compared to the prior quarter and there was a 27% decrease from the first quarter of 2010. This is a three year low, but there was a 7% increase from February to March.
RealtyTrac also reported that foreclosure activity will probably begin to increase again as lenders work through the backlog of thousands of foreclosures that have been delayed due to improperly processed paperwork.
The following article was published in RealtyTrac's April 2011 Foreclosure Market Trends Report
Processing Delays Drop Foreclosure Activity to Lowest Total Since Q1 2008
March Default Notices and Bank Repossessions Rebound From Three-Year Lows
IRVINE, Calif. – April 14, 2011 — RealtyTrac® (http://www.realtytrac.com/gateway_co.asp?accnt=137300), the leading online marketplace for foreclosure properties, today released its U.S. Foreclosure Market Report™ for the first quarter of 2011, which shows foreclosure filings — default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — were reported on 681,153 U.S. properties in the first quarter, a 15 percent decrease from the previous quarter and a 27 percent decrease from the first quarter of 2010. The report also shows one in every 191 U.S. housing units received a foreclosure filing during the quarter.
Foreclosure filings were reported on 239,795 U.S. properties in March, a 7 percent increase from the previous month but still down 35 percent from March 2010, when 367,056 homeowners received a foreclosure notice – the highest monthly total in the history of the RealtyTrac monthly report since its inception in January of 2005.
“The nation’s housing market continued to languish in the first quarter, even as foreclosure activity fell to a three-year low,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “Weak demand, declining home prices and the lack of credit availability are weighing heavily on the market, which is still facing the dual threat of a looming shadow inventory of distressed properties and the probability that foreclosure activity will begin to increase again as lenders and servicers gradually work their way through the backlog of thousands of foreclosures that have been delayed due to improperly processed paperwork.”
Foreclosure Activity by Type
A total of 197,112 U.S. properties received default notices (NOD, LIS) for the first time in the first quarter, a 17 percent decrease from the previous quarter and a 35 percent decrease from the first quarter of 2010. A total of 73,393 properties received default notices in March, up 16 percent from February but still down 37 percent from March 2010.
Foreclosure auctions (NTS, NFS) were scheduled for the first time on a total of 268,995 U.S. properties in the first quarter, a 19 percent decrease from the previous quarter and a 27 percent decrease from the first quarter of 2010. Foreclosure auctions were scheduled on 93,228 U.S. properties in March, down 4 percent from February and down 41 percent from March 2010.
Lenders foreclosed on 215,046 U.S. properties in the first quarter, a 6 percent decrease from the previous quarter and a 17 percent decrease from the first quarter of 2010. In states where the non-judicial foreclosure process is primarily used, bank repossessions (REOs) increased 9 percent from the previous quarter, and March REOs increased on a monthly basis in both non-judicial and judicial foreclosure states.
Nevada, Arizona, California post top state foreclosure rates
Nevada posted the nation’s highest state foreclosure rate, with one in every 35 housing units with a foreclosure filing, despite a 10 percent decrease in foreclosure activity from the previous quarter. In March, Nevada’s foreclosure activity increased 35 percent from February after two straight monthly decreases.
Bank repossessions increased 26 percent in Arizona from February to March, helping to keep the state’s foreclosure rate second highest in the nation for the first quarter: one in every 60 Arizona housing units received a foreclosure filing during the quarter. The state’s first quarter foreclosure activity increased 15 percent from the fourth quarter — the second highest quarterly increase of any state — but was still down 17 percent from the first quarter of 2010.
First quarter foreclosure activity in California decreased 4 percent from the previous quarter and was down 22 percent from the first quarter of 2010, but the state still posted the nation’s third highest foreclosure rate, with one in every 80 housing units with a foreclosure filing during the quarter. First quarter bank repossessions in California increased 17 percent from the previous quarter, while March default notices increased 28 percent from February.
One in every 98 Utah housing units had a foreclosure filing in the first quarter, the fourth highest state foreclosure rate, and Idaho posted the fifth highest state foreclosure rate: one in every 106 housing units with a foreclosure filing during the quarter.
Other states with foreclosure rates ranking among the top 10 in the first quarter were Georgia, Michigan, Florida, Colorado and Illinois.
Top foreclosure activity totals
With 168,543 properties with a foreclosure filing, California accounted for nearly 25 percent of U.S. foreclosure activity in the first quarter.
Florida accounted for nearly 9 percent of U.S. foreclosure activity, documenting 58,322 properties with a foreclosure filing during the quarter, followed by Arizona, with 46,047 properties with foreclosure filings — nearly 7 percent of the national total.
Georgia (37,509) and Michigan (37,506) posted nearly identical numbers of properties with foreclosure filings in the first quarter, and each state accounted for 5.5 percent of the U.S. total.
Other states with foreclosure activity totals among the nation’s 10 highest in the first quarter were Texas (34,646), Illinois (33,092), Nevada (32,066), Ohio (24,697) and Colorado (13,847).
Judicial foreclosure states post substantial quarterly and annual decreases
Processing delays continued to keep foreclosure activity artificially low — states where a judicial foreclosure process is used accounted for some of the biggest quarterly and annual decreases in the first quarter.
Florida foreclosure activity decreased 47 percent from the previous quarter and was down 62 percent from the first quarter of 2010 — although the state still posted the nation’s eighth highest foreclosure rate with one in every 152 housing units with a foreclosure filing during the first quarter.
First quarter foreclosure activity in Massachusetts decreased 46 percent from the previous quarter and was down 62 percent from the first quarter of 2010. The state’s foreclosure rate — one in every 549 housing units with a foreclosure filing — ranked No. 38 among the states.
New Jersey’s first quarter foreclosure rate of one in every 401 housing units with a foreclosure filing ranked No. 34 among the states, thanks in part to a 43 percent decrease in foreclosure activity from the previous quarter and a 44 percent decrease from the first quarter of 2010.
Connecticut first quarter foreclosure activity decreased 39 percent from the previous quarter and was down 65 percent from the first quarter of 2010. Pennsylvania first quarter foreclosure activity decreased 35 percent from the previous quarter and was down 29 percent from the first quarter of 2010.
Non-judicial foreclosure states account for 19 of top 20 metro foreclosure rates
Except for Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla., the 20 highest first quarter foreclosure rates among metropolitan areas with a population of 200,000 or more were in states where the non-judicial foreclosure process is primarily used, and paperwork delays are less severe. Cape Coral-Fort Myers ranked No. 18, with one in every 86 housing units with a foreclosure filing during the quarter.
Las Vegas continued to post the nation’s highest metro foreclosure rate, with one in every 31 housing units with a foreclosure filing. The Reno-Sparks, Nev., metro area ranked No. 8, with one in every 54 housing units with a foreclosure filing.
California cities accounted for 11 of the top 20 metro foreclosure rates, led by Modesto at No. 2 (one in every 46 housing units) and Stockton at No. 3 (one in every 47 housing units).
With one in every 48 housing units with a foreclosure filing, the Phoenix metro area ranked No. 4 and was one of two Arizona metro areas in the top 20.
Report methodology
The RealtyTrac U.S. Foreclosure Market Report provides a count of the total number of properties with at least one foreclosure filing entered into the RealtyTrac database during the month and quarter — broken out by type of filing. Some foreclosure filings entered into the database during a month or quarter may have been recorded in previous months or quarters. Data is collected from more than 2,200 counties nationwide, and those counties account for more than 90 percent of the U.S. population. RealtyTrac’s report incorporates documents filed in all three phases of foreclosure: Default — Notice of Default (NOD) and Lis Pendens (LIS); Auction — Notice of Trustee Sale and Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NTS and NFS); and Real Estate Owned, or REO properties (that have been foreclosed on and repurchased by a bank). For the quarterly report, if more than one foreclosure document is received for a property during the quarter, only the most recent filing is counted in the report. Both the quarterly and monthly reports check if the same type of document was filed against a property previously. If so, and if that previous filing occurred within the estimated foreclosure timeframe for the state where the property is located, the report does not count the property in the current month or quarter.
U.S. Foreclosure Market Data by State – Q1 2011
The following was reported by The New York Times, March 3, 2011:
A Plan to Phase Out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
A PROPOSAL to phase out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-controlled enterprises that for decades have underpinned the American housing industry, is in draft form right now. But industry experts say the plan will most likely affect borrowers even before it is finalized.
Consumers could see higher borrowing costs in the next year or so, along with a more limited number of financing choices, the experts say, because some of the proposed changes do not require Congressional approval and appear to already be in the works.
“There’s a lot of uncertainty in the process,” said Barry Zigas, the director of housing policy at the Consumer Federation of America, “but you’re probably going to get a better deal on a fixed-rate loan sooner rather than later.”
Mr. Zigas added that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage — the plain-vanilla option favored by buyers for decades — might become harder to find and more expensive, because without agencies like Fannie and Freddie to buy these loans, banks may be less willing to extend credit at a fixed rate over such a long term.
John Mechem, a spokesman for the Mortgage Bankers Association, agreed with that assessment. “Traditionally,” he explained, “banks have been less willing to keep 30-year fixed-rate mortgages on their balance sheets, so in the absence of a vibrant securitization market, banks would more heavily favor adjustable-rate products.”
The plan, which calls for winding down Fannie and Freddie over the next five to seven years, was drafted by the Treasury Department, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and the White House, and was sent to Congress on Feb. 11. It proposes three options.
The most extensive of these options makes banks and other private lenders responsible for the entire mortgage industry, with the government helping only veterans, rural consumers and the neediest of borrowers.
Another option proposes limited assistance and government guarantees, in the form of borrower-paid fees or taxpayer-financed insurance for most mortgages, in the event of a financial crisis like the subprime meltdown that began in 2008. The third envisions more government oversight of the mortgage industry and provides investors in home loans with “catastrophic reinsurance” in the event of a crisis.
The phase-out proposal also calls for a more limited role for the Federal Housing Administration, the insurer of low-down-payment mortgages that have grown popular among first-time buyers and those with weak credit or low income. It suggests raising the minimum down payment to 10 percent from 3.5 percent, and imposing that 10 percent minimum for Fannie and Freddie loans. F.H.A. is raising the mortgage insurance premium already — it is set to increase next month, to 1.1 or 1.15 percent of the loan amount for 30-year fixed-rate loans. The agency was considering a jump to 2.25 percent.
The proposal also calls for lowering the size of loans that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac can insure; the limit, for loans in high-cost areas, is already set to drop, on Oct. 1, to $625,500 from $729,750. Larger, “jumbo” loans typically carry higher rates.
Some of the proposals — like those for lowering loan limits and raising the insurance premium and certain fees on Fannie, Freddie or F.H.A. loans — do not require Congressional approval. As a result, borrowers can expect to see those fees, tacked on to the interest rate of the loan, rise at least a quarter of a percentage point, according to Sarah Rosen Wartell, the executive vice president of the Center for American Progress, a liberal think tank. “This is all but certain in the short term,” she said.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were created after the Depression to help Americans buy homes, but the agencies, buffeted by the mortgage crisis, have received more than $150 billion in taxpayer help. Fannie, Freddie and F.H.A. buy or insure about 97 percent of residential mortgages.
As Reported in ForeclosureRadar's "The Foreclosure Report" January 2011
Foreclosure sales bounced back to levels not seen since robo-signing moratoriums went into effect last fall. With significant increases in Arizona, California, Nevada, Oregon and Washington; foreclosure sales rose both in terms of properties that went Back to the Bank and those Sold to Third Parties, typically investors. As a result Bank Owned Inventories (REO) increased everywhere except in Oregon where banks sold more homes then they took back.
"We have not seen this level of activity on the courthouse steps for months," says Sean O'Toole, CEO and Founder of ForeclosureRadar.com. "The increase in foreclosures is just in time to provide a fresh supply of entry level homes for the spring home buying season."
Arizona
Notice of Trustee Sale filings were up 10.9 percent in January 2011 from the prior month, the first increase in six months. Foreclosure sales catapulted with a 56.2 percent increase in sales back to the bank and a 52.7 percent increase in sales to third parties on a month-over-month basis. Both banks and Third parties bought more properties in January 2011 than in any other single month since we began tracking Arizona foreclosure sales in August 2009.
By Hubble Smith
LAS VEGAS REVIEW-JOURNAL
Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 | 1:12 p.m.
Nevada saw a 19 percent decrease in foreclosure starts in 2010 -- the first drop in four years -- as more short sales and loan modifications were approved, an annual summary from San Francisco-based ForeclosureRadar showed.
The online foreclosure tracking firm counted 86,010 filings of new foreclosure actions last year, down from 106,425 in 2009. They're up from 75,814 and 38,690 the previous two years.
California and Arizona foreclosure filings fell 33 percent and 18 percent in 2010, respectively, while Washington and Oregon had 14 percent and 10 percent more.
A number of factors have slowed the foreclosure process in Nevada, including programs such as the government's $75 billion Home Affordable Mortgage Program, or HAMP, and the state's foreclosure mediation program.
Officials from the mediation program on Thursday announced $300,000 in grants to provide education classes and free legal advice for Nevada homeowners facing foreclosure.
Investors flipped foreclosures for solid profits in the first half of the year as buyers hurried to take advantage of the tax credits, ForeclosureRadar Chief Executive Officer Sean O'Toole said Thursday.
However, the housing market began to slow when the tax credit expired at the end of April and the government's push for loan modifications waned, he said.
The "robo-signing scandal" also led to a dramatic drop in foreclosure sales toward the end of the year. Bank of America completely halted the foreclosure process for nearly two months.
As a result, Nevada experienced a 6 percent drop in foreclosure sales to 42,828 in 2010, compared with 45,420 in 2009, ForeclosureRadar reported. Arizona's foreclosure sales dropped 26 percent and California's sales dropped 6 percent. Oregon and Washington were up 39 percent and 14 percent, respectively.
2010 FORECLOSURE SUMMARY
State | Foreclosure starts | % change | Foreclosure sales | % change |
Arizona | 119,790 | -18 | 70,588 | -26 |
California | 338,999 | -33 | 189,810 | -6 |
Nevada | 86,010 | -19 | 42,828 | -6 |
Oregon | 24,574 | +10 | 16,781 | +39 |
Washington | 42,161 | +14 | 25,920 | +14 |
Source: ForeclosureRadar.com
The following article was reported by RealtyTrac in February 2011:
Record 2.9 Million U.S. Properties Receive Foreclosure Filings in 2010 Despite 30-Month Low in December
Florida Foreclosure Activity Drops 22 Percent in December, but
Bank Repossessions Spike more than 45 Percent in Nevada, Arizona, California
A total of 3,825,637 foreclosure filings — default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — were reported on a record 2,871,891 U.S. properties in 2010, an increase of nearly 2 percent from 2009 and an increase of 23 percent from 2008, according to the Year-End 2010 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report released by RealtyTrac. The report also shows that 2.23 percent of all U.S. housing units (one in 45) received at least one foreclosure filing during the year, up from 2.21 percent in 2009, 1.84 percent in 2008, 1.03 percent in 2007 and 0.58 percent in 2006.
Foreclosure filings were reported on 257,747 U.S. properties in December, a decrease of nearly 2 percent from the previous month and down 26 percent from December 2009 — the biggest annual drop in foreclosure activity since RealtyTrac began publishing its foreclosure report in January 2005 and giving December the lowest monthly total since June 2008.
December Default notices (NOD, LIS) decreased 4 percent from the previous month and were down 35 percent from December 2009; Scheduled foreclosure auctions (NTS, NFS) decreased 3 percent from the previous month and were down 20 percent from December 2009; and bank repossessions (REO) increased nearly 4 percent from the previous month — thanks in part to substantial month-over-month increases in some states such as Nevada (71 percent increase), Arizona (52 percent increase) and California (47 percent increase) — but were still down 24 percent from December 2009.
Foreclosure filings were reported on 799,064 U.S. properties in the fourth quarter, a 14 percent decrease from the previous quarter and an 8 percent decrease from the fourth quarter of 2009. The fourth quarter total was the lowest quarterly total since Q4 2008.
“Total properties receiving foreclosure filings would have easily exceeded 3 million in 2010 had it not been for the fourth quarter drop in foreclosure activity — triggered primarily by the continuing controversy surrounding foreclosure documentation and procedures that prompted many major lenders to temporarily halt some foreclosure proceedings,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “Even so, 2010 foreclosure activity still hit a record high for our report, and many of the foreclosure proceedings that were stopped in late 2010 — which we estimate may be as high as a quarter million — will likely be re-started and add to the numbers in early 2011.”
Nevada, Arizona, Florida post top state foreclosure rates
More than 9 percent of Nevada housing units (one in 11) received at least one foreclosure filing in 2010, giving it the nation’s highest state foreclosure rate for the fourth consecutive year despite a 5 percent decrease in foreclosure activity from 2009. Nevada foreclosure activity in December increased 18 percent from the previous month and was up 14 percent from December 2009. Fourth quarter foreclosure activity in Nevada decreased nearly 7 percent from the previous quarter but increased 19 percent from the fourth quarter of 2009.
Arizona registered the nation’s second highest state foreclosure rate for the second year in a row, with 5.73 percent of its housing units (one in 17) receiving at least one foreclosure filing in 2010, and Florida registered the nation’s third highest foreclosure rate, with 5.51 percent of its housing units (one in 18) receiving at least one foreclosure filing during the year.
Other states with 2010 foreclosure rates ranking among the nation’s 10 highest were California (4.08 percent), Utah (3.44 percent), Georgia (3.25 percent), Michigan (3.00 percent), Idaho (2.98 percent), Illinois (2.87 percent), and Colorado (2.51 percent).
California, Florida, Arizona, Illinois and Michigan account for half of national total
Five states accounted for 51 percent of the nation’s total foreclosure activity in 2010: California, Florida, Arizona, Illinois and Michigan. Together these five states documented nearly 1.5 million properties receiving a foreclosure filing during the year despite annual decreases in the three states with the most foreclosure activity.
A total of 546,669 California properties received a foreclosure filing in 2010, a decrease of nearly 14 percent from 2009 but still the largest state total. After hitting a two-year low in November, California foreclosure activity rebounded nearly 15 percent higher in December but was still down 18 percent from December 2009.
Florida posted the nation’s second biggest total in 2010, with 485,286 properties receiving a foreclosure filing — a 6 percent decrease from 2009. Florida foreclosure activity in December hit the lowest monthly level since July 2007, down 22 percent from the previous month and down nearly 54 percent from December 2009.
A total of 155,878 Arizona properties received a foreclosure filing in 2010, a 4 percent decrease from 2009 but the third biggest state total for the third straight year. Arizona foreclosure activity in December jumped nearly 31 percent higher from a 32-month low in November, but was still down nearly 33 percent from December 2009.
Illinois posted the fourth biggest state total, with 151,304 properties receiving a foreclosure filing in 2010, and Michigan posted the fifth biggest state total, with 135,874 properties receiving a foreclosure filing during the year. Foreclosure activity in both states increased about 15 percent from 2009.
Other states with 2010 totals among the 10 biggest in the country were Georgia (130,966), Texas (118,923), Ohio (108,160), Nevada (106,160), and New Jersey (64,808).
The following was reported in ForeclosureRadar.com's monthly report:
The headline foreclosure news in October was the suspension of foreclosures by a handful of lenders, after certain procedures were called into question. While the announcements initially focused on 23 judicial foreclosure states outside of our coverage area, Ally (GMAC), PNC and Bank of America all later announced that they would be suspending foreclosures nationally. The week after the announcements, we saw evidence of those suspensions on Tuesday, October 12; after the Monday holiday. Ally restarted foreclosures just a week later on October 18; but neither Bank of America nor PNC have resumed foreclosure sales as of November 15th.
Foreclosure sales dropped dramatically across our coverage area as a result, though slight declines by other lenders would have likely led to a drop in October's foreclosure sales regardless. It should be noted that ForeclosureRadar monitors foreclosure sales at the time of the foreclosure auction, providing far more current data than other services which track Trustee's Deeds that are filed weeks later.
Foreclosure filings were less impacted by the announced suspensions. Filings by Bank of America dropped slightly just after their announcement, but began picking up the following week. PNC appears to have largely stopped new filings, but they typically represent less than 2 percent of filings, so their impact was minimal. Despite the limited impact of announced suspensions, Notices of Default filings were generally down."Despite a short-term impact to foreclosure sales, the latest foreclosure scandal will likely lead to little more than a new scam perpetrated on those who have already lost their home," says Sean O'Toole, CEO and Founder of ForeclosureRadar.com. "Much like the cottage industry of loan modification consultants that took up-front fees and provided little in return, we are now seeing consultants promising to overturn foreclosure sales, despite any experience in actually doing so."
Arizona
Notice of Trustee Sale filings dropped 12.9 percent in October from September, and were down 15.0 percent from the prior year. After a steady rise last year, the October inventory of Bank Owned (REO) properties was flat, which was likely helped by the 27.0 percent drop in foreclosures that went Back to the Bank. Properties Sold to a 3rd Party (typically investors), also dropped 26.5 percent in October from the prior month, as foreclosure sales were impacted by the foreclosure suspensions.
There have been 24 condos and townhomes sold in Pinetop and Lakeside in 2010. This compares to 23 sales during the same period last year. The average price of the homes sold in 2010 was $172,775, compared to $203,180 in 2009. This is a drop of 15% since last year.
“Rate of Absorption” is the length of time it will take the real estate market to absorb, or sell all of the homes for sale, based on recent sales. For instance, there are currently 73 condos and townhomes for sale and 34 sold in the last 12 months, an average of 2.6 per month. At this rate, it would take about 26 months to sell all the homes currently for sale, assuming that there aren’t new listings.
Some of the neighborhoods with the highest Rate of Absorption are:
Sports Village 80 months
Stone Pine 72 months
Country Pines 60 months
Pine Lake Meadows 48 mos
Pinetop CC Village 48 mos
The following was reported in the September 2010 edition of RealtyTrac's Foreclosure Market Trends Report:
Banks Delay Foreclosures and Pray Property Values Increase
By Peter G. Miller
You've probably heard that the nation's banks had a $21.6 billion profit during the second quarter, reason enough to celebrate with big executive bonuses for our financial leaders. But before we break out the champagne it might be good to mention that the profits enjoyed by our bankers are no more believable than Bernie Madoff's sworn testimony.
To untangle what's going on we have to start with the idea that a sound financial system is crucial to the economy and thus to everyone. If that means a few rules must be bent to create the fiction of bank stability, so be it. Unfortunately, the financial system remains painfully and deeply unsettled, a reality which impacts home prices and foreclosure practices nationwide.
In The Beginning
In 2008 the government created the TARP program, $700 billion largely set aside to prop up big lenders. Happily, most of the money was unneeded, “only” $190 billion remains outstanding and much of what's unpaid is related to non-banks such as GM and AIG.
However, less visible and perhaps equally important was a quiet accounting change.
“Rule 157” used to say that assets on lender books should be appraised as if they were being sold today, the “mark-to-market” valuation method. This was a great rule when values were increasing, but if left in place during down times it would force banks and others to show huge mortgage and property losses. So, of course, the rule was changed, replaced by what the Wall Street Journal calls the “mark to wish” standard.
Bankers certainly knew what was going on. As Sheila Blair, head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation explains, “the difficulty in determining the value of mortgage-related assets and, therefore, the balance-sheet strength of large banks and non-bank financial institutions ultimately led these institutions to become wary of lending to one another, even on a short-term basis.”
Mortgage Relief
Almost 435,000 homes have been saved from foreclosure under the government's Making Home Affordable program. This is certainly good news for legions of borrowers and there's another beneficiary as well: Lenders have been helped because nearly 435,000 once-distressed loans are now performing.
Under the Making Home Affordable program lenders cut rates, stretch loan terms and sometime forgive principal so that monthly mortgage payments will total no more than 38 percent of a borrower's monthly income. Uncle Sam then chips in with a subsidy so that borrowers only make payments equal to 31 percent of their monthly income. The result: Lower monthly costs for borrowers, fewer foreclosures, better-looking lender books, and higher stock prices.
The Profit Illusion
Given the unprecedented level of federal assistance, it's hardly a surprise that the fortunes of the lender community have begun to improve, even if much of the “improvement” does not reflect marketplace realities.
Here's an example: Smith took out an option ARM loan in 2006 which allowed negative amortization. The interest not paid each month was added to the loan amount. For accounting purposes such interest was treated as taxable “income” even though it was not actually collected. With “higher” income lenders could also report “higher” profits.
Now we have the reverse situation. When an option ARM is foreclosed the principal balance is likely to be larger than the original loan amount, meaning the loss is magnified. This is a major problem because Fitch Ratings reports that “start” periods for option ARMs worth $134 billion will end in 2010 and 2011. Fitch also reports that the average monthly payment will rise 63 percent, an increase many borrowers will be unable to afford. The result is that the value of such loans on lender books is now greatly overstated.
Delayed Foreclosures
When a home is sold at foreclosure the loan is retired at the value the lender is able to get from the transaction. For example, a home with a $200,000 mortgage balance might be sold at foreclosure with the lender getting $150,000 from the sale. In today's market foreclosure losses can be substantial, especially in major foreclosure centers such as Nevada, Arizona and Florida.
If a borrower is delinquent but not foreclosed then there's no lower value to report, a $50,000 “savings” in our example. Lenders thus have a financial incentive to carry delinquent borrowers and support state rules which delay foreclosures.
Second Liens
If you look at the latest numbers for the Making Home Affordable program you can see that there were 1.5 million eligible borrowers. That compares with 3.1 eligible million mortgages — or better than two per borrower. In other words, many of the homeowners now in trouble purchased real estate with “piggyback” financing. This meant they could buy with less down and also avoid the cost and bother of mortgage insurance — good news, as it turns out, for the mortgage insurance companies.
Laurie Goodman, a leading analyst with the Amherst Securities Group, tells us that second liens worth $1.01 trillion are outstanding according to Federal Reserve data. Of these liens, says Goodman, $751 billion are held by commercial banks and $435 billion are owned by the top four commercial banks.
In a foreclosure situation the rule is that the first lender must be paid off entirely before a dime is paid to second lien holders such as those who own second mortgages or home equity lines of credit (HELOCs).
Given that the value of many homes is less than the balance of the first mortgage, just how many second-lien holders will get paid in the event of foreclosure? Or, to put this another way, is the $751 billion in second liens held by the nation's banks really worth reported values?
Many of the largest banks are also the largest servicers, an arrangement which can create a considerable conflict.
“Often,” says Gretchen Morgenson, writing in The New York Times, “the same bank that services a primary mortgage owned by another institution also owns a second mortgage or home equity line of credit on the same property. When that borrower has trouble meeting both payments, the servicer has an interest in making sure that amounts owed on the second lien, which it owns, continue to be paid even if the first loan, which it has no interest in, slides into delinquency." (See: In This Play, One Role Is Enough, August 14, 2010)
How does a servicer protect the second lien holder? According to Naked Capitalism, servicers don’t foreclose on borrowers with second liens at the same rate as they foreclose on borrowers without a second lien. If all borrowers were foreclosed equally, lenders would be forced to immediately write off large numbers of second liens.
Reserves
Lenders are required to set aside money for loss reserves. How much to set aside is a matter of discretion, there's no absolute rule. Curiously, in the second quarter when lenders had profits of $21.6 billion they also reduced loan reserve contributions by $27.1 billion when compared with a year earlier.
Lenders might argue that credit quality has improved and thus less money should be set aside for losses, but the reality is that foreclosure filings have been above 300,000 per month for nearly a year and a half according to Jim Saccacio, Chairman and CEO at RealtyTrac.com.
“Like an iceberg, a large portion of the foreclosure problem is hidden from view,” says Saccacio. “But the problems are there, they're real, and everyone has to understand that they have yet to go away.”
The Bottom Line
Despite glowing profit reports, the lending system remains troubled. At best, what we have is a holding operation which has prevented the financial system from appearing significantly worse. That's a victory — consider the alternative. Unfortunately at some point real values will have to be shown on lender books and those values are not what we see today.
The hope is that the national fudging process can continue until property values increase for real, raising the value of lender loan portfolios no matter what accounting system is used. The good news is that some increases in home values have begun to be reported. The National Association of Realtors says July home prices were 0.9 percent higher than a year ago. The Case-Shiller Index shows that home prices across the country rose 4.4% in the second quarter. The Federal Housing Finance Agency says home prices increased .9% in the second quarter when compared with the first three months of the year.
So the race is on: Will higher real estate values take hold before lender accountants have to fess up? Stay tuned.
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Peter G. Miller is syndicated in more than 100 newspapers
The following was reported in the September 2010 edition of RealtyTrac's Foreclosure Market Trends Report:
Bank Repossessions Hit Record High for Third Time in Last Five Months
IRVINE, Calif. – Sep. 16, 2010 — RealtyTrac® (realtytrac.com), the leading online marketplace for foreclosure properties, today released its U.S. Foreclosure Market Report™ for August 2010, which shows foreclosure filings — default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — were reported on 338,836 properties in August, a 4 percent increase from the previous month but a 5 percent decrease from August 2009. One in every 381 U.S. housing units received a foreclosure filing during the month.
“The trend lines of decreasing default notices and increasing bank repossessions converged in August, with virtually the same number of new default notices and bank repossessions for the month — a clear indication that the clogged foreclosure pipeline is being carefully managed on both ends by lenders and servicers,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “On the front end, seriously delinquent loans are rolling into foreclosure at an unusually slow rate, while on the back end the dammed-up inventory of properties already in foreclosure is moving to REO in steady stream rather than a flood — presumably to prevent further erosion of home prices.”
Foreclosure Activity by Type
A total of 96,469 U.S. properties received default notices (NOD, LIS) in August, a 1 percent decrease from the previous month and a 30 percent decrease from August 2009 — the seventh straight month where default notices have decreased on a year-over-year basis. Default notices peaked in April 2009, when 142,064 were reported nationwide.
Default notices increased on a monthly basis in some states, counter to the national trend. Default notices in California increased on a month-over-month basis for the third month in a row, and New York, Indiana, Ohio and Florida also registered month-over-month increases in default notices.
Foreclosure auctions (NTS, NFS) were scheduled for the first time on a total of 147,003 U.S. properties in August, a 9 percent increase from the previous month and a 2 percent increase from August 2009. The August total for scheduled auctions was the second highest monthly total in the history of the report, which goes back to April 2005, and was 7 percent below the peak of 158,105 in March 2010.
Lenders foreclosed on 95,364 U.S. properties in August, the highest monthly total in the history of the report and about 2 percent higher than the previous peak of 93,777 bank repossessions (REOs) in May 2010. August REO activity increased 3 percent from the previous month and was up 25 percent from August 2009 — the ninth straight month where REOs have increased on a year-over-year basis.
Nevada, Florida, Arizona post top state foreclosure rates in August
Nevada continued to document the nation’s highest state foreclosure rate for the 44th straight month, with one in every 84 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing in August — 4.5 times the national average. Nevada maintained the nation’s highest state foreclosure rate despite a 25 percent year-over-year decrease in foreclosure activity in August — the 11th straight month where Nevada foreclosure activity has decreased on a year-over-year basis.
Florida foreclosure activity decreased on a year-over-year basis for the fifth straight month in August, but the state’s foreclosure rate still ranked second highest among all states. One in every 155 Florida housing units received a foreclosure filing in August — 2.5 times the national average.
One in every 165 Arizona housing units received a foreclosure filing in August, the nation’s third highest state foreclosure rate, and one in every 194 California housing units received a foreclosure filing in August, the nation’s fourth highest state foreclosure rate.
One in every 220 Idaho housing units received a foreclosure filing in August, the nation’s fifth highest state foreclosure rate. A total of 2,915 Idaho properties received a foreclosure filing in August, an increase of nearly 9 percent from the previous month and an increase of 11 percent from August 2009. Idaho was the only state with a top 5 foreclosure rate to document a year-over-year increase in foreclosure activity.
Other states with foreclosure rates ranking among the top 10 in August were Utah, Georgia, Michigan, Illinois and Hawaii.
Five states account for more than 50 percent of national total
California alone accounted for 20 percent of the national total in August, with 69,143 properties receiving a foreclosure filing during the month — a 3 percent increase from the previous month but a 25 percent decrease from August 2009.
Florida accounted for nearly 17 percent of the national total, with 56,877 properties receiving a foreclosure filing — a 10 percent increase from the previous month but a 9 percent decrease from August 2009. Florida default notices were down 46 percent from August 2009 but increased 2 percent from the previous month, ending five straight months of month-over-month decreases in Florida default notices.
Michigan, Illinois and Arizona each accounted for about 5 percent of the national total in August, with 17,764 Michigan properties receiving foreclosure filings, 16,808 Illinois properties receiving foreclosure filings, and 16,510 Arizona properties receiving foreclosure filings.
Other states with foreclosure activity totals among the nation’s 10 highest in August were Georgia (16,366), Texas (14,290), Ohio (13,479), Nevada (13,385), and Washington (6,760).
Metro foreclosure hot spots continue downward trend
All 10 metro areas with the nation’s highest foreclosure rates in August posted year-over-year decreases in foreclosure activity for the second month in a row.
The Las Vegas-Paradise, Nev., metro area documented the highest foreclosure rate among metropolitan areas with a population of 200,000 or more, with one in every 73 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing, despite a 25 percent decrease in foreclosure activity from August 2009.
Foreclosure activity in Modesto, Calif., decreased 10 percent from August 2009, but the city still documented the nation’s second highest metro foreclosure rate, with one in every 95 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing in August. Six other California metro areas had foreclosure rates ranking among the top 10: Stockton at No. 3 (one in every 100 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing); Merced at No. 6 (one in 111); Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario at No. 7 (one in 113); Bakersfield at No. 8 (one in 120); Vallejo-Fairfield at No. 9 (one in 124); and Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Roseville at No. 10 (one in 125).
Two Florida metro areas registered foreclosure rates among the top 10: Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla., at No. 3, with one in every 104 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing; and Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach at No. 5, with one in every 111 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing.
Report methodology
The RealtyTrac U.S. Foreclosure Market Report provides a count of the total number of properties with at least one foreclosure filing entered into the RealtyTrac database during the month — broken out by type of filing. Some foreclosure filings entered into the database during the month may have been recorded in previous months. Data is collected from more than 2,200 counties nationwide, and those counties account for more than 90 percent of the U.S. population. RealtyTrac’s report incorporates documents filed in all three phases of foreclosure: Default — Notice of Default (NOD) and Lis Pendens (LIS); Auction — Notice of Trustee Sale and Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NTS and NFS); and Real Estate Owned, or REO properties (that have been foreclosed on and repurchased by a bank). The report does not count a property again if it receives the same type of foreclosure filing multiple times within the estimated foreclosure timeframe for the state where the property is located.
U.S. Foreclosure Market Data for Top 10 States – Aug 2010
| | | Properties with Foreclosure Filings | | |
|---|
| Rate Rank | State Name | NOD | LIS | NTS | NFS | REO | Total | 1/every X HU (rate) | %Change from Jul 10 | %Change from Aug 09 |
|---|
-- | U.S. | 44,887 | 51,582 | 95,887 | 51,116 | 95,364 | 338,836 | 381 | 4.18 | -5.48 |
1 | Nevada | 6,050 | 0 | 4,636 | 0 | 2,699 | 13,385 | 84 | -2.49 | -25.23 |
2 | Florida | 0 | 21,295 | 0 | 23,253 | 12,329 | 56,877 | 155 | 10.32 | -8.85 |
3 | Arizona | 18 | 0 | 10,877 | 0 | 5,615 | 16,510 | 165 | 1.3 | -7.28 |
4 | California | 29,753 | 0 | 24,172 | 0 | 15,218 | 69,143 | 194 | 3.34 | -25.11 |
5 | Idaho | 885 | 0 | 1,420 | 0 | 610 | 2,915 | 220 | 8.89 | 11.26 |
6 | Utah | 1,174 | 0 | 1,527 | 0 | 1,396 | 4,097 | 230 | 5.11 | 25.02 |
7 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 10,979 | 0 | 5,387 | 16,366 | 246 | 30.13 | 36.99 |
8 | Michigan | 6,114 | 0 | 5,996 | 0 | 5,654 | 17,764 | 255 | -5.68 | -8.24 |
9 | Illinois | 0 | 6,912 | 0 | 5,412 | 4,484 | 16,808 | 314 | -14.25 | 28.52 |
10 | Hawaii | 57 | 0 | 1,099 | 0 | 473 | 1,629 | 315 | 75.16 | 87.46 |
*Actual increase may not be as high due to data collection changes or improvements About RealtyTrac Inc.
RealtyTrac (http://www.realtytrac.com/) is the leading online marketplace of foreclosure properties, with more than 1.5 million default, auction and bank-owned listings from over 2,200 U.S. counties, along with detailed property, loan and home sales data. Hosting more than 3 million unique monthly visitors, RealtyTrac provides innovative technology solutions and practical education resources to facilitate buying, selling and investing in real estate. RealtyTrac’s foreclosure data has also been used by the Federal Reserve, FBI, U.S. Senate Joint Economic Committee and Banking Committee, U.S. Treasury Department, and numerous state housing and banking departments to help evaluate foreclosure trends and address policy issues related to foreclosures.
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Media Contact:
Michelle Sabolich
Atomic Public Relations
415.593.1400, ext. 1233
michelle.sabolich@atomicpr.com
Data Licensing:
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tyler.white@realtytrac.com
949.502.8300, ext. 158
So far, in 2010 there have been 179 homes sold in the Pinetop, Lakeside and Show Low areas with a median sales price of 164,500. During the same period last year there were only 117 homes sold and the median sales price was $164,500. This is a 14.8% decline in the median price of the homes sold.
In the Pinetop Country Club/Pinetop Lakes Country Club area the number of homes sold during this period increased from 16 last year to 33 this year, and the median price of the homes sold only dropped from $231,500 to $214,500..
I do not think Zillow’s estimates of property values are very accurate, but according to Zillow.com the median home value in Pinetop was $200,200 in March. This is down 19.3% from one year ago, and it is down 35.4% from the peak in July 2006.
With foreclosures and short sales still increasing this trend will probably continue through the end of the year, or longer.
About one-half of all the homes sole in Pinetop, Lakeside and Show Low over the last six months were either bank owned or short sales. The large percentage of foreclosures has caused a large drop in property values. When a bank forecloses on a home they will sell it below market value in order to sell it quickly, and this hurts the value of other homes in the neighborhood.
Newer neighborhoods have been hit extremely hard. Most of these homes were purchased at the peak of the market and are now selling for prices far below the original purchase price of the homes, and in many cases less than half of their original prices.
This makes it extremely difficult for homeowners who need to sell their home, but they owe more on their home than what it is worth. Many of these homeowners are just letting their homes go into foreclosure, rather than explore their other options.
As bac as this is for homeowners who are trying to sell their homes, it is a great time for buyers who want to purchase a home.
There have been 42 homes sold in Pinetop, Lakeside, and Show Low so far in 2010. 21 of these sales were REO (foreclosed or bank owned) properties and 4 of them were short sales. The high percentage of distressed sales is driving property values down, which is good for buyers but bad for sellers. The number of foreclosures and short sales is expected to increase throughout the year.